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Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 56.27%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.32%56.27%58.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.691.691.7461.35%59.33%59.17%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 43.73%2.29momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.631%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%43.68%43.73%45.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.24%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.27%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 43.73%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +1.46%E +0.631%K +1.11%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.589%E +0.256%K +0.453%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.589%E +0.256%K +0.453%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.723%E -0.319%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.60%E -0.710%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.710%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-31 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 21:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 20:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.16%E -3.88%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.34%E -5.05%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-01 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |