Language:English
Washington Nationals v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.79%55.70%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.35%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.795%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.21%44.30%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.162.152.3047.85%46.28%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 55.73%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 44.27%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.83%E +0.795%K +1.41%G +0.026% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.058%E +0.026%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.385%E -0.171%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.827%E -0.369%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-16 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 22:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 19:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.49%E -4.51%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 21:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |