La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-06-16 22:46 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 6–4 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 55.73%1.79quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.771%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%55.79%55.70%57.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.35%58.48%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.27%2.26quota equa
EV +1.83%
Vantaggio +0.795%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.64%44.21%44.30%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.092.162.152.3047.85%46.28%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.83%E +0.795%K +1.41%G +0.026%2.0%2026-06-16 22:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.058%E +0.026%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-16 22:40
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.385%E -0.171%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-16 22:40
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.827%E -0.369%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.71%E -0.772%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 22:20
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 22:20
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 19:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:40
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:27
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 18:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 19:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 21:50
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 21:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 22:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 22:10
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 22:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 22:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 22:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 21:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 21:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.26%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.49%E -4.51%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-06-16 22:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-16 21:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-16 22:40