Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-12 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 6–12 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 40.68%2.46odd justa
EV -0.339%
Vantagem -0.138%
Kelly -0.234%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%40.70%40.66%42.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.59%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 59.32%1.69odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.919%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.84%59.30%59.34%61.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.02%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 40.68%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 59.32%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.339%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-12 05:29
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 22:29
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 20:59
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.56%E -0.644%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 22:00
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.97%E -0.816%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 13:05
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 21:00
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 21:20
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 04:49
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:15
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 06:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 12:39
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:50
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:40
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:18
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 11:04
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 22:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 22:23
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-12 22:35
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-12 22:35
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-08-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:35
BetOpenly◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-12 22:34
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-12 09:39
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 04:50
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-12 22:35