Język:Polski
Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 40.68%2.46kurs godziwy
EV -0.339%
Przewaga -0.138%
Kelly -0.234%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.90%40.70%40.66%42.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.59%42.55%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Chicago Cubs (Goście)
Prognoza 59.32%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.919%
Kelly -2.31%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.66
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.84%59.30%59.34%61.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.02%62.11%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 40.68%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 59.32%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.46. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.45, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.339%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 05:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 22:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.56%E -0.644%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.97%E -0.816%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 06:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 06:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 04:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 06:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 22:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 22:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 21:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 22:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 22:33 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 22:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |