StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-12 22:46 UTC

Endstand: Washington Nationals 6–12 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 40.68%2.46faire Quote
EV -0.339%
Vorteil -0.138%
Kelly -0.234%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.90%40.70%40.66%42.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.59%42.55%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.32%1.69faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.919%
Kelly -2.31%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.84%59.30%59.34%61.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.02%62.11%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Washington Nationals (Heim): 40.68%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 59.32%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.46. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.45, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.339%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-12 05:29
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.339%E -0.138%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 22:29
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 20:59
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.15%E -0.474%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.56%E -0.644%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 22:00
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.97%E -0.816%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.37%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 13:05
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.53%E -0.919%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 21:00
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 21:20
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.19%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 04:49
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:40
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:15
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 06:44
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 06:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 12:39
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:50
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.49%E -2.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:40
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:18
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.27%E -3.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 11:04
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.05%E -5.19%K -14.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 22:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.71%E -1.65%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 22:23
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.08%E -3.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:33
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-12 22:35
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-12 22:35
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-08-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-12 22:35
BetOpenly◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-12 22:34
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-12 09:39
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 04:50
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-12 22:35