Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 43.22%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 56.78%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +1.56%E +0.662%K +1.15%G +0.018% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -10.28%E -6.51%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.605%E -0.263%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 22:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.90%E -0.838%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.76%E -1.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 20:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.49%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.22%E -2.87%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.52%E -3.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.44%E -4.57%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.52%E -3.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |