默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-09-01 22:46 UTC

最终结果: Washington Nationals 9–5 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 43.22%2.31公平赔率
EV +1.56%
优势 +0.662%
Kelly +1.15%
增长率 +0.018%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.20%43.16%43.24%44.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.222.222.3546.73%45.14%45.05%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 56.78%1.76公平赔率
EV -1.19%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -1.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
55.84%56.84%56.76%59.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.681.671.7463.29%59.60%59.70%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Nationals (主队):43.22%;Atlanta Braves (客队):56.78%。 对于“Washington Nationals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.35,对应+1.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +1.56%E +0.662%K +1.15%G +0.018%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -10.28%E -6.51%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:25
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.605%E -0.263%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:43
Caesars🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.90%E -0.838%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.76%E -1.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 20:54
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-01 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:39
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 20:30
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:30
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:45
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 22:30
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:45
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.19%E -0.687%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:44
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 22:44
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 21:04
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.49%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:44
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:33
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:40
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 20:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.22%E -2.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.03%E -2.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:30
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.52%E -3.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.44%E -4.57%K -11.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 22:35
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.52%E -3.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 22:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-09-01 22:45
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%0.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-01 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-01 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-01 22:45
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-01 22:30
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-01 21:35
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-09-01 22:45
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-09-01 22:45
BetOpenly◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%6.0%2026-09-01 22:40