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Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 51.19%1.95fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.862%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%51.16%51.15%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.861.851.9756.82%53.75%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.967%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.84%48.85%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0953.76%51.29%51.28%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 51.19%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 48.81%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +2.02%E +0.967%K +1.85%G +0.038% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.069%E +0.034%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.21%E -0.628%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.86%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.700%E -0.361%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.700%E -0.361%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.188%E -0.096%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.836%E +0.424%K +0.862%G +0.007% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 19:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.38%E -4.68%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |