Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-08-29 19:49 UTC

Finale: Toronto Blue Jays 4–3 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays (Casa)

Previsione 51.19%1.95quota equa
EV +0.836%
Vantaggio +0.424%
Kelly +0.862%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.49%51.16%51.15%53.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.861.851.9756.82%53.75%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.81%2.05quota equa
EV +2.02%
Vantaggio +0.967%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.34%48.84%48.85%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.951.952.0953.76%51.29%51.28%47.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toronto Blue Jays (Casa): 51.19%; Seattle Mariners (Trasferta): 48.81%. Per Seattle Mariners (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.05. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.09, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.02%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +2.02%E +0.967%K +1.85%G +0.038%1.9%2026-08-29 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.069%E +0.034%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.24%E -1.17%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.37%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.21%E -0.628%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.86%E -1.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.700%E -0.361%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.700%E -0.361%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:30
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.188%E -0.096%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:34
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:06
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.30%E -2.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Caesars🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.836%E +0.424%K +0.862%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:20
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.25%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 19:09
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.38%E -4.68%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:30
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-29 19:30
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 19:40
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-29 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-29 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-29 19:45
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-08-29 19:35
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-08-29 19:15