Language:English
Toronto Blue Jays v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 61.06%1.64fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.07%61.06%61.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.561.6165.36%64.04%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 38.94%2.57fair odd
EV -0.310%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%38.93%38.94%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.5643.48%40.74%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.06%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 38.94%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -0.310%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.31%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.48%E -0.584%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.700%E -0.274%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.48%E -0.584%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.26%E -0.899%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.87%E -0.741%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.43%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.76%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.76%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.43%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.88%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |