Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:16 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 1–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 61.06%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%61.07%61.06%61.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.561.561.6165.36%64.04%64.10%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.94%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.310%
Avantage -0.121%
Kelly -0.199%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.16%38.93%38.94%40.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.5643.48%40.74%40.82%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 61.06% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 38.94%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.56, pour une espérance de -0.310% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.31%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.48%E -0.584%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 15:00
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.700%E -0.274%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.48%E -0.584%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:20
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -0.310%E -0.121%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.09%E -0.429%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 16:10
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.26%E -0.899%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 16:10
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:10
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 15:00
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 10:30
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.87%E -0.741%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 16:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:00
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.43%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.76%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.76%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.43%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.88%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48%0.3%2026-05-24 16:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 16:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 15:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-05-24 15:20