The School of Odds
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Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 19:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV +0.459%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.266%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%36.75%36.82%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7340.82%38.64%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 63.20%1.58fair odd
EV -0.773%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.25%63.18%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5768.97%66.04%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 36.80%; New York Yankees (Visit): 63.20%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.459%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07%EV +0.459%E +0.168%K +0.266%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93%EV -2.67%E -1.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-15 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.645%E -0.239%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.41%E -0.901%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-15 16:49
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.645%E -0.239%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:48
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.01%E -0.376%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.01%E -0.376%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:59
BetAnything🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.01%E -0.376%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.38%E -0.515%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.41%E -0.901%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-15 16:54
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.38%E -0.515%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 18:59
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -2.12%E -0.796%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.48%E -0.938%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 17:04
theScore Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.67%E -1.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 16:34
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.67%E -1.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Bovada🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 19:04
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:04
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.36%E -5.76%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:58
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.36%E -5.76%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:57
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.773%E -0.493%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 18:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:43
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 17:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:29
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:30
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:49
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:39
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:09
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:54
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:39
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.09%E -4.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:39
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.43%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.43%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:04
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:04
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:40
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:39
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.90%E -2.73%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.93%E -2.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.46%E -4.37%K -13.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.36%E -5.76%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 16:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.30%E -2.16%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-08-15 18:49
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-15 19:04
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-15 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-15 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-15 18:49
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-15 17:34
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-08-15 19:00
BetOpenly◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-08-15 19:05