Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-08-14 23:16 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 42.11%2.37odd justa
EV -0.210%
Vantagem -0.089%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.08%42.09%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.262.252.3746.30%44.20%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 57.89%1.73odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%57.92%57.91%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.45%60.42%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 42.11%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 57.89%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.375. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.370, com valor esperado de -0.210%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -0.210%E -0.089%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 22:09
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 23:05
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 23:09
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 06:58
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:13
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 21:59
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:44
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:44
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:44
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 23:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:39
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:49
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:49
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 22:14
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 23:08
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:48
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 21:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%-0.0%2026-08-14 23:14
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 23:05
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:20
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-14 23:15
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-08-14 23:14