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Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Predicción 42.11%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.153%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.08%42.09%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.262.252.3746.30%44.20%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%57.92%57.91%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.45%60.42%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 42.11%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 57.89%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.375. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.370, con un valor esperado de -0.210%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -0.210%E -0.089%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 06:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 23:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 23:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 22:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15% | -0.0% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 20:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |