Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 23:16 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 42.11%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.210%
Avantage -0.089%
Kelly -0.153%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.08%42.09%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.262.252.3746.30%44.20%44.44%42.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.89%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%57.92%57.91%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.45%60.42%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 42.11% ; New York Yankees (Visiteur) : 57.89%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.375. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.370, pour une espérance de -0.210% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -0.210%E -0.089%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 22:09
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.05%E -0.448%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -1.47%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 23:05
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.32%E -0.998%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 23:09
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 06:58
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:13
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 21:59
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:44
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:44
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:39
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:44
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.63%E -3.46%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 23:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:39
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:49
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:49
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 22:14
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 23:08
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.21%E -3.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:48
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -9.05%E -4.19%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 21:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%-0.0%2026-08-14 23:14
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 23:05
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:20
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-14 23:15
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-08-14 23:14