The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 23:40 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 8–5 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.77%52.84%52.86%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.821.9357.14%54.98%54.95%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%47.16%47.14%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.67%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.95%; New York Yankees (Visit): 47.05%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +2.19%E +1.14%K +2.36%G +0.052%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -6.37%E -3.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.51%E -0.814%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-12 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:20
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 22:50
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:29
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-12 23:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:29
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:59
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.02%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 23:30
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.16%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.16%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:49
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 23:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 23:00
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.49%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.51%-0.9%2026-06-12 23:00
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-06-12 23:30
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-06-12 23:30
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-12 23:09