Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-06-12 23:40 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 8–5 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 52.95%1.89odd justa
EV +2.19%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +2.36%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.77%52.84%52.86%53.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.821.821.9357.14%54.98%54.95%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.05%2.13odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.72%47.16%47.14%49.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.67%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.95%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 47.05%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.89. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.93, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +2.19%E +1.14%K +2.36%G +0.052%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -6.37%E -3.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.51%E -0.814%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-12 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:20
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 22:50
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:29
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-12 23:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:29
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:59
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.02%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 23:30
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.16%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.16%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:49
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 23:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 23:00
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 51.49%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.51%-0.9%2026-06-12 23:00
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-12 23:30
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-06-12 23:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-06-12 23:30
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-12 23:09