The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

2026-08-16 17:38 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 52.17%1.92fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.16%52.20%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.831.8856.82%54.44%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 47.83%2.09fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.84%47.80%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.981.982.0753.19%50.43%50.38%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.17%; New York Yankees (Visit): 47.83%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -0.987%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.42%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 23:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.94%E -0.948%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 18:29
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.94%E -0.948%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 20:24
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.94%E -0.948%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.94%E -0.948%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.42%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.42%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 20:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:48
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.45%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.21%E -3.71%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.97%E -1.60%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.987%E -0.477%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.49%E -1.89%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 00:33
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.49%E -1.89%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:56
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.49%E -1.89%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.01%E -2.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.01%E -2.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 23:49
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 21:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:08
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:24
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.48%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.81%E -2.42%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.58%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.77%E -2.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.94%E -0.948%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:13
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -10.08%E -5.36%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.18%E -4.65%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-08-16 01:40
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-16 01:45
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-15 19:35
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-16 01:30
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-08-15 23:55
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%8.5%2026-08-16 01:35

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.