Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-08-16 17:38 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 3–4 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 53.11%1.88odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.945%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.09%53.08%54.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.84%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 46.89%2.13odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.728%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.03%46.91%46.92%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1051.28%48.86%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 53.11%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 46.89%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -1.53%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 15:05
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 15:04
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 17:33
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 16:25
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 12:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:14
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 04:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 14:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 13:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 03:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 03:24
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 13:24
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 03:24
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 03:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:34
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 15:09
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:33
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:00
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:14
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:30
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.62%E -3.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.72%E -5.71%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-16 17:35
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-16 17:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-16 13:20
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-16 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-16 17:35
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-08-16 17:25