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Toronto Blue Jays v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.40%55.27%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.721.7759.88%58.05%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV -0.374%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%44.60%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.152.2347.62%46.48%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.32%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 44.68%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.374%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -0.987%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.50%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.374%E -0.168%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.39%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:32 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 0.2% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |