La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-04-12 17:38 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 2–8 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 55.32%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%55.40%55.27%56.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.721.7759.88%58.05%58.14%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 44.68%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.374%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.54%44.60%44.73%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.152.152.2347.62%46.48%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:25
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.16%E -0.987%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 16:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.50%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 16:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.374%E -0.168%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 14:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 16:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.39%E -2.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:25
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:32
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:30
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-04-12 17:35
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-12 17:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-12 17:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-12 17:35
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-04-12 17:30