Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 23:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 46.49%2.15fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.48%46.74%48.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.072.082.1250.51%48.41%48.08%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 53.51%1.87fair odd
EV +0.589%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.96%53.52%53.26%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8858.82%56.19%56.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 46.49%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 53.51%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.589%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -5.15%E -2.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.589%E +0.314%K +0.670%G +0.004%2.2%2026-04-06 23:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.02%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 22:57
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.02%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:55
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -7.48%E -3.76%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -1.55%E -0.843%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:03
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.43%E -0.675%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.90%E -0.898%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.90%E -0.898%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:14
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:52
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:19
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.15%E -2.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 23:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.76%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.76%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:15
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 21:45
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.90%E -3.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:09
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.04%E -5.32%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-06 23:05
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 23:00
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 23:05
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%5.5%2026-04-06 23:05