La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-04-06 23:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 46.49%2.15momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.48%46.74%48.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.072.082.1250.51%48.41%48.08%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.51%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.589%
Ventaja +0.314%
Kelly +0.670%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.96%53.52%53.26%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8858.82%56.19%56.50%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -5.15%E -2.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.589%E +0.314%K +0.670%G +0.004%2.2%2026-04-06 23:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.02%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 22:57
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.02%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:55
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -7.48%E -3.76%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -1.55%E -0.843%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 23:04
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:03
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.43%E -0.675%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:24
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.90%E -0.898%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:24
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.90%E -0.898%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:15
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:14
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:52
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.69%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 23:05
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.15%E -2.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:15
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 23:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.76%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.76%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:15
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:54
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 23:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:59
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 21:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.83%E -3.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:15
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 21:45
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.90%E -3.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:44
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.36%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.04%E -5.32%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-06 23:05
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-06 23:00
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-06 23:05
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%5.5%2026-04-06 23:05