Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-16 19:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 52.34%1.91fair odd
EV -0.549%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.609%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.43%52.22%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.9058.14%54.86%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.57%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.991.982.1554.05%50.17%50.51%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.34%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 47.66%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.15, producing a positive expected value of +2.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +2.46%E +1.15%K +2.14%G +0.053%2.1%2026-09-16 01:35
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +1.99%E +0.928%K +1.74%G +0.035%2.3%2026-09-16 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +1.51%E +0.709%K +1.34%G +0.020%2.5%2026-09-16 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +1.51%E +0.709%K +1.34%G +0.020%2.5%2026-09-16 01:35
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.83%E -0.887%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 23:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.60%E -0.849%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.31%E -3.52%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.35%E -4.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 01:35
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:35
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:54
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 01:35
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 18:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.69%E -2.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.12%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.12%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.12%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.12%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.69%E -2.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.12%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.07%E -0.567%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 18:53
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.60%E -0.849%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.50%E -4.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.50%E -4.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.549%E -0.289%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -6.31%E -3.52%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -9.97%E -5.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.18%EV -11.83%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-09-16 01:35
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-15 21:51
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-16 01:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-09-16 01:05
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-09-16 01:35
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%7.9%2026-09-16 01:35
Arbitrage (12 combinations) +0.86%Paddy Power 1.90 (53.1%) / GTbets 2.15 (46.9%)Show all 12 combinations
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)Detroit Tigers (Visit)Margin
Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (53.1%)GTbets🎯 2.15 (46.9%)+0.864%
Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (53.0%)BetUS🎯 2.14 (47.0%)+0.644%
FanDuel🎯 1.89 (53.2%)GTbets🎯 2.15 (46.8%)+0.582%
Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (52.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)+0.422%
Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (52.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)+0.422%
FanDuel🎯 1.89 (53.1%)BetUS🎯 2.14 (46.9%)+0.362%
1xBet🎯 1.88 (53.3%)GTbets🎯 2.15 (46.7%)+0.298%
SportsBet🎯 1.88 (53.3%)GTbets🎯 2.15 (46.7%)+0.298%
FanDuel🎯 1.89 (53.0%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.0%)+0.142%
FanDuel🎯 1.89 (53.0%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.0%)+0.142%
1xBet🎯 1.88 (53.2%)BetUS🎯 2.14 (46.8%)+0.080%
SportsBet🎯 1.88 (53.2%)BetUS🎯 2.14 (46.8%)+0.080%