Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-16 19:08 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 52.42%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.394%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.39%52.39%53.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.831.831.9058.82%54.67%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 47.58%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.567%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.520%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.68%47.61%47.61%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.881.992.002.0953.19%50.29%50.00%47.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.42%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 47.58%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.90, con un valor esperado de -0.394%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.394%E -0.207%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.394%E -0.207%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.06%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.918%E -0.486%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.44%E -0.767%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.65%E -4.51%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:05
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.99%E -0.968%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-16 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 01:45
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.04%E -0.501%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-16 01:40
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.04%E -0.501%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-16 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.52%E -0.733%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.52%E -0.733%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 01:40
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.28%E -3.19%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.28%E -3.19%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.28%E -3.19%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.28%E -3.19%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.75%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.02%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.54%E -1.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.567%E -0.271%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-16 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:55
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 02:10
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 02:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.42%E -1.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.47%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:35
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.47%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.90%E -1.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 02:05
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 02:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 02:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.64%E -3.13%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.32%E -2.68%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.73%E -4.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -10.56%E -5.62%K -12.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-15 21:51
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-16 01:40
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-16 01:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 18:55
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-09-16 02:15
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-09-16 01:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%8.3%2026-09-16 02:40