Language:English
Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.28%56.30%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7462.50%59.31%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.72%43.70%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3150.00%45.54%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 56.28%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 43.72%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.00%E +0.434%K +0.766%G +0.008% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.309%E -0.135%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.746%E -0.329%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.62%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.919%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-15 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.50%E -1.12%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.93%E -1.32%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 16:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 23:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.27%E -5.07%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.27%E -5.07%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.89%E -2.90%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 22:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.08%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.99%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 22:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.18%E -3.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.58%E -3.97%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.62%E -4.12%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 13:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 23:05 |