Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-15 23:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV -0.029%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%55.51%55.58%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.96%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV +0.037%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.49%44.42%46.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.132.122.2550.25%47.03%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.54%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 44.46%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.249. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.250, producing a positive expected value of +0.037%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.037%E +0.016%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 03:35
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.037%E +0.016%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 05:02
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.30%E -0.584%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.30%E -0.584%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 03:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.30%E -0.584%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 03:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.19%E -0.994%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 03:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.19%E -0.994%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 05:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.08%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 03:19
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.08%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 04:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.029%E -0.016%K -0.037%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 04:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 03:20
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 03:20
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 03:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 03:15
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 05:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 03:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 04:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 04:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.029%E -0.016%K -0.037%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 06:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 04:53
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 04:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -7.08%E -3.39%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:30
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.30%E -4.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 04:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 05:55
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 03:45
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 06:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-09-15 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-15 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-15 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%3.8%2026-09-15 05:35
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-09-15 06:05