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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-15 23:08 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 55.49%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.120%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.150%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.52%55.49%55.54%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.94%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.51%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.150%
Ventaja +0.066%
Kelly +0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.51%44.46%46.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.122.122.2550.25%47.10%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.49%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 44.51%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.247. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.250, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.150%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.150%E +0.066%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 03:35
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.19%E -0.534%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.19%E -0.534%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 03:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.19%E -0.534%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 03:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 03:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.44%E -5.12%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 05:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 03:19
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 04:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.120%E -0.066%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 04:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 03:20
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 03:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 03:20
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 03:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 03:15
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 06:40
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 03:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 04:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 04:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.120%E -0.066%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 06:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 04:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 07:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 04:53
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 04:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 04:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.97%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:30
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 04:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 06:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.23%E -0.691%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.89%E -4.75%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.78%E -4.03%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.88%EV -11.42%E -5.74%K -11.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 04:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 05:55
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 03:45
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 06:35
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-09-15 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-15 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-15 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%3.8%2026-09-15 05:35
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%4.5%2026-09-15 07:25