L’École des cotes

Toronto Blue Jays v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 23:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 45.92%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.115%
Avantage +0.053%
Kelly +0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.95%46.05%45.89%46.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.062.052.1850.25%48.49%48.78%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.08%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.040%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.047%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.02%53.95%54.11%55.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.32%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.115%E +0.053%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:30
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.344%E -0.159%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 03:29
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.804%E -0.372%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.804%E -0.372%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.26%E -0.587%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:45
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:33
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.040%E +0.022%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-24 03:39
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.04%E -0.569%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:50
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:13
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:35
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.48%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.48%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:30
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:39
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:24
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:40
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:20
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:34
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.91%E -3.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:34
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.33%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-24 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%8.3%2026-04-24 03:45