La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-04-24 23:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.115%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.95%46.05%45.89%46.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.062.052.1850.25%48.49%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 54.08%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.040%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.02%53.95%54.11%55.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.32%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.115%E +0.053%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:30
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.344%E -0.159%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 03:29
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.804%E -0.372%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.804%E -0.372%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.26%E -0.587%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:45
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:33
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.040%E +0.022%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-24 03:39
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.04%E -0.569%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:50
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:13
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:35
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.48%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.48%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:30
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:39
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.40%E -2.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:24
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:40
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.29%E -2.42%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:20
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:34
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.91%E -3.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.31%E -3.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.77%E -3.34%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:34
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.23%E -3.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.75%E -2.10%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.33%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-24 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%8.3%2026-04-24 03:45