Language:English
Toronto Blue Jays v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV +0.642%
Edge +0.373%
Kelly +0.891%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.47%58.44%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.641.7265.36%61.05%60.98%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%41.53%41.56%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.292.302.4546.73%43.72%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 58.51%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 41.49%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.64%E +0.671%K +1.13%G +0.019% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.23%E +0.504%K +0.854%G +0.010% | 2.0% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +0.400%E +0.165%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +0.400%E +0.165%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.28%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.26%E -0.529%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.67%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.67%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-25 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.707%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.75%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.28%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-25 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-25 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV +0.642%E +0.373%K +0.891%G +0.006% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -5.41%E -2.37%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-25 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.41%E -2.37%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.82%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.82%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.28%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.90%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 22:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.28%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -8.31%E -3.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.28%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.56%E -4.38%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.56%E -4.38%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -11.22%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-25 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-09-25 21:55 |