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Toronto Blue Jays v Cincinnati Reds

2026-09-25 23:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 55.20%1.81fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.25%55.21%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.731.7960.98%58.04%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 44.80%2.23fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.75%44.79%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.122.122.1750.25%47.15%47.17%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.20%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 44.80%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -1.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.20%E -0.668%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 21:15
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 21:04
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 21:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:24
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:20
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:29
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 22:33
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 22:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:20
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 01:14
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:19
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 21:29
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-24 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.18%EV -10.84%E -5.45%K -10.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-24 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-25 01:05
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-25 00:05
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-09-25 02:00
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-24 21:30
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%10.6%2026-09-25 01:05