The School of Odds

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

2026-07-19 16:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.26%48.29%49.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.982.0253%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 51.78%1.93fair odd
EV -0.057%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.74%51.71%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.831.9356%54%55%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.61%E -0.848%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:15
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-18 21:25
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:30
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:50
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:50
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:55
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 21:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:20
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:53
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:55
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:24
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:15
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 19:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 21:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:21
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:24
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.82%E -4.40%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.82%E -4.40%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-18 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-18 21:25
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-18 21:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-07-18 21:30
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%9.1%2026-07-18 21:25