Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 16:16 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 0–3 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd
EV +0.240%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.226%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.63%48.68%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.961.962.0653.76%51.01%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.37%51.32%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.18%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 48.66%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 51.34%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.055. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.060, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.240%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV +0.240%E +0.116%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:14
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.247%E -0.121%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.94%E -1.02%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 16:15
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.45%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:45
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:45
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:30
Everygame🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 14:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 16:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 05:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.07%E -3.91%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 11:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 11:35
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.65%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.65%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 16:15
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:14
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 14:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.91%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 16:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:13
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -8.03%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.03%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 15:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.49%E -5.10%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.64%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-07-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-19 13:45
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 16:14
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-07-19 14:05