La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-19 16:16 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 0–3 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 48.66%2.06momio equitativo
EV +0.240%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.226%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.63%48.68%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.961.962.0653.76%51.01%51.02%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 51.34%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%51.37%51.32%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.18%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV +0.240%E +0.116%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:14
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.247%E -0.121%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.94%E -1.02%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 16:15
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.45%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:44
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:45
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:45
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 15:30
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.97%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 14:05
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.71%E -0.845%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:00
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 16:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 05:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:05
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.07%E -3.91%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 11:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 11:35
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 16:14
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.65%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 15:59
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.65%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 16:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 16:10
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:44
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:44
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:10
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:10
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.63%E -2.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 16:15
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:14
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 14:18
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 13:50
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.11%E -2.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 16:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:15
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 16:15
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.09%E -3.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.91%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 16:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 15:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 16:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 16:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:13
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:14
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 16:15
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -8.03%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.05%E -3.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.03%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 15:48
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.49%E -5.10%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.64%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-07-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-19 13:45
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 16:14
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-07-19 14:05