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Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Toronto Blue Jays (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.71%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.07%
Преимущество +1.66%
Kelly +3.61%
Рост +0.111%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.95%55.56%55.70%57.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.721.711.8561.73%58.24%58.48%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Baltimore Orioles (Гости)
Прогноз 44.29%2.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.358%
Преимущество -0.159%
Kelly -0.286%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.41%44.44%44.30%48.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.982.152.162.2550.51%46.48%46.30%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Toronto Blue Jays (Хозяева): 55.71%; Baltimore Orioles (Гости): 44.29%. Для исхода «Toronto Blue Jays (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.79. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.07%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +3.07%E +1.66%K +3.61%G +0.111% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.828%E -0.465%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.66%E -4.73%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.13%E -0.964%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.358%E -0.159%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.51%E -4.53%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.44%E -3.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |