Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-09-12 19:08 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 55.71%1.79odd justa
EV +3.07%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +3.61%
Crescimento +0.111%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.95%55.56%55.70%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.711.8561.73%58.24%58.48%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 44.29%2.26odd justa
EV -0.358%
Vantagem -0.159%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%44.44%44.30%48.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.152.162.2550.51%46.48%46.30%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.71%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 44.29%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.79. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +3.07%E +1.66%K +3.61%G +0.111%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:49
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:48
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.828%E -0.465%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.66%E -4.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:40
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-12 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.13%E -0.964%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 18:50
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.358%E -0.159%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-12 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 19:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:05
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:05
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.51%E -4.53%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.44%E -3.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-12 18:55
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:05
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-12 19:05
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 18:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-12 18:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-09-12 19:05