Langue:Français
Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prévision 55.71%1.79cote équitable
EV +3.07%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +3.61%
Croissance +0.111%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.95%55.56%55.70%57.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.711.8561.73%58.24%58.48%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.29%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.358%
Avantage -0.159%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%44.44%44.30%48.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.152.162.2550.51%46.48%46.30%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 55.71% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 44.29%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.79. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.85, soit une espérance positive de +3.07%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +3.07%E +1.66%K +3.61%G +0.111% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.43%E -5.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.96%E +1.07%K +2.36%G +0.046% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.828%E -0.465%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.66%E -4.73%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.39%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.13%E -0.964%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.358%E -0.159%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.69%E -0.760%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.24%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.51%E -4.53%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.44%E -3.56%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.12%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |