Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 19:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 61.86%1.62fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.86%61.79%62.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV +0.320%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.08%38.14%38.21%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6342.55%40.22%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.86%; Athletics (Visit): 38.14%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.320%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +0.320%E +0.122%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.5%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.061%E -0.023%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.061%E -0.023%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 22:15
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.824%E -0.317%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 22:15
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 00:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.97%E -0.766%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:55
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 02:40
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:05
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.03%E -0.645%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:39
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:55
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:13
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:23
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 01:55
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%7.7%2026-03-28 03:05