La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-03-28 19:07 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 61.86%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%61.86%61.79%62.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.63%64.52%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.320%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.197%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.08%38.14%38.21%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6342.55%40.22%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +0.320%E +0.122%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.5%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.061%E -0.023%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 22:15
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.061%E -0.023%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 22:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.824%E -0.317%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 22:15
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 00:50
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:09
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.97%E -0.766%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:55
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 02:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:05
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.03%E -0.645%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:39
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:25
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:10
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:59
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:00
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:08
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:55
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:13
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:25
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:23
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 01:55
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%7.7%2026-03-28 03:05