The School of Odds

Texas Rangers v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-27 18:35 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.490%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.67%46.75%47.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.85%48.78%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.34%53.33%53.25%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.801.8358.14%56.19%55.56%54.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.564%E +0.262%K +0.490%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 19:15
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.096%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:15
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.371%E -0.174%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.371%E -0.174%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:15
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.839%E -0.396%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.32%E -3.59%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:25
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.77%E -0.845%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.77%E -0.845%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.92%E -4.58%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:25
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.45%E -4.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:45
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 19:25
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 19:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.32%E -3.59%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:29
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.85%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.85%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.85%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.13%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:30
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.58%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:14
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.52%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:30
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.98%E -2.98%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 18:20
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 19:05
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:34
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.85%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 18:28
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.85%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.19%E -5.31%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.45%E -4.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-26 19:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-26 19:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%9.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 46.31%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.69%14.3%2026-07-26 19:10