Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 18:38 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 7–3 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.41%46.35%46.34%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.062.062.1952.08%48.54%48.54%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.65%53.66%56.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.771.8459.52%56.31%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 46.35%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 53.65%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +1.51%E +0.691%K +1.27%G +0.019%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -9.87%E -5.88%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.340%E -0.158%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.27%E -0.595%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 18:35
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.73%E -0.816%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.83%E -0.998%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-27 18:15
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.73%E -0.816%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.97%E -2.22%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 18:34
Everygame🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.19%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.83%E -0.998%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:30
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.19%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 16:45
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 14:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.73%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:30
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 18:30
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.29%E -0.701%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 18:35
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.83%E -0.998%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.29%E -0.701%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.29%E -0.701%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.51%E -2.53%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.51%E -2.53%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:25
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:30
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:30
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:30
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:35
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:30
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:34
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.97%E -2.22%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 18:34
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.90%E -2.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.51%E -2.53%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.83%E -0.998%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:35
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.73%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.05%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.73%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.76%E -3.90%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -7.73%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-27 18:35
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-27 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-07-27 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-07-27 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-27 16:50
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-27 18:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-07-27 18:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-27 18:25
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.4%2026-07-27 18:34
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-07-27 18:35

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