L’École des cotes

Texas Rangers v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-27 18:35 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prévision 46.23%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.596%
Avantage -0.277%
Kelly -0.518%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%46.20%46.34%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.072.052.1550.76%48.37%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.77%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.80%53.66%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.55%56.66%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.596%E -0.277%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 19:15
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.06%E -0.494%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:15
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.52%E -0.714%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.52%E -0.714%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 19:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.98%E -0.935%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.61%E -0.879%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-26 20:15
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.98%E -0.935%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:25
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 20:15
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.91%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:25
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 20:15
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:20
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:25
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.29%E -2.07%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 20:24
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:45
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 20:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:20
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:15
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 20:20
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 20:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 20:15
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.14%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 20:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 20:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-07-26 20:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-26 19:45
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-26 20:20
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-07-26 20:30