The School of Odds

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

2026-07-12 18:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.82%54.84%56.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8060%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.18%45.16%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.1650%47%47%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.23%E -0.681%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 08:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.23%E -0.681%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 02:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.23%E -0.681%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:59
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.23%E -0.681%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.88%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 02:44
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.23%E -0.681%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.88%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 02:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:44
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 04:25
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.49%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:59
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.49%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 05:24
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 06:38
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 03:04
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 07:14
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.53%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 03:05
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 06:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 07:24
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 05:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.88%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 06:39
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 02:35
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 06:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 02:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.69%E -2.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 08:04
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 03:04
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 03:04
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 03:04
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:04
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:04
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:04
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:05
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:04
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 06:39
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 04:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 05:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 06:34
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 06:38
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 03:04
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 04:19
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 06:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 06:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 06:39
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 03:04
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 03:04
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 03:04
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 06:38
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 05:39
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 06:38
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 06:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.14%E -2.95%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 03:04
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.49%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.75%E -4.87%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 06:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 02:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 55.17%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.83%-0.4%2026-07-12 06:39
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 05:29
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 08:19
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-07-12 08:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-12 08:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-12 08:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-12 08:24
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-12 07:00
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%4.6%2026-07-12 08:24
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-12 08:24