Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 18:36 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 6–5 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 56.09%1.78fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.05%56.07%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7460.61%58.51%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 43.91%2.28fair odd
EV +0.109%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.95%43.93%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.162.152.2848.54%46.28%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 56.09%; Houston Astros (Visit): 43.91%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.278. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.280, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.109%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.109%E +0.048%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.769%E -0.340%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-12 18:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 18:14
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.65%E -0.735%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.09%E -0.935%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 18:34
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 18:14
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 16:19
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.72%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:38
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:40
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:34
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:24
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:22
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:19
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:49
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:34
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 18:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:27
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 18:12
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.55%E -4.64%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:34
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-12 18:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-12 18:34
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-07-12 18:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-12 18:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-12 18:35
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-07-12 18:19
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-07-12 18:34