A Escola das Odds

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-07-12 18:36 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 6–5 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 56.09%1.78odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%56.05%56.07%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.7460.61%58.51%58.48%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 43.91%2.28odd justa
EV +0.109%
Vantagem +0.048%
Kelly +0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%43.95%43.93%45.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.062.162.152.2848.54%46.28%46.51%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.109%E +0.048%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.769%E -0.340%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-12 18:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 18:14
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:24
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.65%E -0.735%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.09%E -0.935%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 18:34
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.96%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 18:14
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 16:19
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.52%E -2.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.72%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:38
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:40
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:34
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:24
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:22
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:19
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:49
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:34
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 18:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 02:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:27
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 18:12
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.55%E -4.64%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:34
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-12 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-12 18:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-12 18:34
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-07-12 18:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-12 18:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-12 18:35
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-07-12 18:19
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-07-12 18:34