Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 1.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 47.08%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 52.92%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.124. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.120, with an expected value of -0.194%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.194%E -0.092%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.02%E -1.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 20:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.43%E -2.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.37%E -2.67%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.31%E -3.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 19:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |