La escuela de los momios

Texas Rangers v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-07-04 20:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 0–3 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 47.08%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.194%
Ventaja -0.092%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%47.09%47.07%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.96%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.92%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.91%52.93%54.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.69%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.194%E -0.092%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 20:05
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 19:55
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 19:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.14%E -0.541%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 19:10
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 20:05
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 18:35
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.61%E -0.769%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 20:05
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 20:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:05
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 20:04
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:05
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:05
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.02%E -1.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 19:05
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 18:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 18:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 16:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 16:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 20:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 18:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 18:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:55
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 20:04
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:55
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.43%E -2.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:05
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 19:15
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 19:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:10
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.37%E -2.67%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:55
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:05
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 19:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 02:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 20:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.31%E -3.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 19:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.20%E -4.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-04 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-04 19:45
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-04 20:05
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-07-04 19:45
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-07-04 19:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-07-04 20:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-04 20:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-07-04 20:05