Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-08-09 18:35 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.87%56.23%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.8161.35%58.43%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -0.403%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.13%43.77%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2750.00%46.71%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Rangers (Local): 56.12%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 43.88%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.81, producing a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV +1.59%E +0.876%K +1.96%G +0.031%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -9.62%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.02%E +0.569%K +1.28%G +0.013%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.660%E -0.373%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.47%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.403%E -0.177%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 18:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.28%E -0.569%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 19:10
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:08
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-08 19:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-08 18:04
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-08-08 19:10
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.59%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%10.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Arbitrage (3 combinations) +0.70%FanDuel 1.81 (55.6%) / 1xBet 2.27 (44.4%)Show all 3 combinations
Texas Rangers (Local)Baltimore Orioles (Visit)Margin
FanDuel🎯 1.81 (55.6%)1xBet🎯 2.27 (44.4%)+0.703%
Paddy Power🎯 1.80 (55.8%)1xBet🎯 2.27 (44.2%)+0.393%
FanDuel🎯 1.81 (55.4%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%