Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-09 18:38 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 5–10 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 54.40%1.84odd justa
EV -0.993%
Vantagem -0.546%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.43%54.36%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.761.8258.82%56.90%56.82%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 45.60%2.19odd justa
EV -0.135%
Vantagem -0.061%
Kelly -0.113%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%45.57%45.64%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.102.1950.00%47.74%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Texas Rangers (Local): 54.40%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 45.60%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.193. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.190, com valor esperado de -0.135%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.993%E -0.546%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.78%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%EV -1.54%E -0.849%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.135%E -0.061%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 17:05
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.591%E -0.271%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 17:45
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.05%E -0.482%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 12:45
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.05%E -0.482%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.41%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:04
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 14:35
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 18:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.78%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 17:08
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.41%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.78%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 17:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 02:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -7.43%E -3.66%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-09 18:25
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-09 18:30
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-09 18:25
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-09 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-09 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-09 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-09 18:25
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-09 14:40
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-09 12:30
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%7.3%2026-08-09 18:30