Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-19 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 65.35%1.53fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.94%65.27%65.29%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.451.5170.92%68.65%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 34.65%2.89fair odd
EV +0.487%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.256%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.73%34.71%36.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.9040.00%36.56%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 65.35%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 34.65%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +0.487%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.487%E +0.168%K +0.256%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-18 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -0.206%E -0.071%K -0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -0.206%E -0.071%K -0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 18:29
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.25%E -0.437%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -1.94%E -0.685%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:29
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:30
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV -1.32%E -0.876%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.36%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:30
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.75%E -2.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.94%E -2.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.59%E -3.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.18%E -3.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.18%E -3.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.59%E -3.14%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.18%E -3.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.21%E -3.52%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.21%E -3.52%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:54
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.91%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.64%E -4.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-18 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -7.86%E -5.57%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-18 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 18:50
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 18:25
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%7.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-08-18 18:50

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