The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 64.68%1.55fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.67%64.59%65.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5370.92%67.65%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.236%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.49%35.33%35.41%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.96%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 64.68%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 35.32%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.672%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +0.672%E +0.236%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.3%2026-08-19 21:20
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.034%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV -0.387%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-19 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -1.45%E -0.519%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-19 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 07:44
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:55
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.05%E -0.683%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.57%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 22:26
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.57%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 21:20
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 22:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 14:05
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 14:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 13:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.98%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 22:35
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.98%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.69%E -2.13%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:59
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:00
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:34
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -8.81%E -6.25%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.10%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 20:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:10
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-08-19 22:10
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-19 21:40
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 21:50
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-19 15:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-19 15:20
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-08-19 21:50