Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 64.68%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%64.67%64.59%65.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.481.481.5370.92%67.65%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 35.32%2.83momio equitativo
EV +0.672%
Ventaja +0.236%
Kelly +0.363%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.49%35.33%35.41%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.96%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 64.68%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 35.32%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.672%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +0.672%E +0.236%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.3%2026-08-19 21:20
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.034%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV -0.387%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-19 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -1.45%E -0.519%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-19 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:45
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 07:44
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:55
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.05%E -0.683%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.57%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 22:26
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.57%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 21:20
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 22:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 14:05
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 14:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 04:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 13:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.98%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 22:35
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.98%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.69%E -2.13%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:59
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:00
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:34
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -8.81%E -6.25%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.10%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 20:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:10
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-08-19 22:10
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-19 21:40
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 21:50
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-19 15:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-19 15:20
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-08-19 21:50