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Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV +0.942%
Edge +0.518%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.27%55.53%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.711.8260.98%58.22%58.48%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.73%44.47%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2150.00%46.93%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.46%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 44.54%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.942%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.167%E -0.093%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.722%E -0.403%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.28%E -0.717%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.28%E -0.717%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.57%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.77%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.14%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.92%E -3.31%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 17:10 |