L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 17:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV +0.942%
Avantage +0.518%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.27%55.53%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.721.711.8260.98%58.22%58.48%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.54%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.711%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.73%44.47%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.152.2150.00%46.93%46.51%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:10
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.942%E +0.518%K +1.15%G +0.011%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.167%E -0.093%K -0.209%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.722%E -0.403%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 17:05
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.28%E -0.717%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.28%E -0.717%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:09
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.57%E -0.711%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 15:35
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:09
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.81%E -3.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:07
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 16:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:05
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.14%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 16:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 17:05
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 16:50
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:09
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 15:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:00
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 16:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 16:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 16:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 16:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.92%E -3.31%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 16:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-06 17:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-06 17:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-06 17:10
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-06 17:05
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%2.8%2026-05-06 17:10
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-05-06 17:10